Neuro-Fuzzy: Multivariable Identification of a Pumping System with Variable Demand

Resumo

Water supply systems (WSS) comprise a set of equipment, works and services aimed at supplying water, covering domestic, industrial and public consumption. WSS face challenges arising from hourly variation in demand, influenced by society's consumption patterns. These variations cause fluctuations in system pressures and energy inefficiencies. As a way of analyzing this aspect, intelligent techniques were used to identify an automated WSS with variable demand for the development of computational models. Two multivariable and non-linear models were developed based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Neuro-Fuzzy system (NF). The objective is to enable simulations of operation scenarios, analysis, design and implementation of new intelligent control algorithms. To collect the data used in training and validation, experiments were carried out throughout the system's operating region. For cross validation, tests were carried out in operating regions different from those used for training. The models were evaluated using performance criteria, such as: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), Final Prediction Error (FPE) and Adjustment percentage. The results were obtained using an experimental bench and showed adjustments greater than 99%. The cross-validation results evaluated with performance indicators show the superiority of intelligent models in comparison to parametric and mathematical models in the multivariable and non-linear identification of water pumping systems for simulation and dynamics prediction purposes.